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_Insights into investor sentiment in the UAE

In respect of general investment sentiment, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) UAE Commercial Property Monitor Q3 2018 Investment Sentiment Index continued to register weakening sentiment and has now shown a negative balance since Q2 2015.
Taimur Khan March 13, 2019

During the course of the last couple of years, we have seen buyer demographics change within the market with family offices starting to be slightly more cautious over their investment programs.

This has been offset by a number of new institutional investors entering the market, with the intention of creating real estate funds – both private and listed. This theme follows the trend we have seen in Saudi Arabia, where we have seen 16 REITs listed since the end of 2016, with a current market cap of circa USD 3bn.

However, more recently we have seen some private groups return to the market as there are opportunities to acquire assets at significant discounts to historic valuations.

"During the course of 2018 we saw upwards pressure on yields throughout the UAE. "

Office sector

The office sector has seen a widening in yields between prime and secondary, with well located, best in class assets still commanding a premium to the wider market and continuing to attract robust interest from investors.

Industrial & Logistics sector

Investments in logistics and industrial assets continue to be perceived as an attractive proposition by the market, though during the course of the year we saw minimal transaction activity in this sector, mainly due to a dearth of credible investment opportunities.

Education and healthcare sector

Education and healthcare also generally remain attractive as investment targets, in part due to the extended lease structures on offer, which are not prevalent in other sectors. However, with fundamentals in some instances under pressure and some recent insolvencies in this sector we see investors taking a much more granular approach to the covenant strength of the tenant.

Retail sector

The retail sector continues to face headwinds, though we see a divergence between the wider retail market and well located community retail with established catchments, which continue to perform reasonably.

Hospitality sector

The hospitality market continues to be challenging and whilst we have seen resiliance to a degree in occupancy, Average Daily Rates (ADR) have been under pressure across the UAE.

For more information on UAE real estate investment, read the Knight Frank UAE Real Estate Investment Market Report 2019

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